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Who really said it

People predict very little and explain everything

Attributed to Amos Tversky
Attribution status: Attributed Reuse status: In copyright

Wikiquote groups this line with notes reproduced by Lewis. The notebook itself was not checked.

Last verified 9 Nov 2026 · how we verify · spot an error?

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Unconfirmed quote & credit

“People predict very little and explain everything” — Amos Tversky

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Still under copyright (rights held by Amos Tversky and/or the cited publisher; no permission is implied). A short, credited quote is generally fine for talks, teaching, and internal decks; for commercial, published, or large-scale reuse, get permission.

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Provenance

What the source establishes

Documented trail
Michael Lewis, The Undoing Project (2016), reporting Tversky’s notes.
Evidence
Attribution and wording limits stated below

People predict very little

A short excerpt from the cited source; it may differ from the popular wording above.

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How we verified this

  • Read the source ↗ — Wikiquote groups this line with notes reproduced by Lewis. The notebook itself was not checked.

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The author

About Amos Tversky

Amos Tversky

Psychologist

Amos Tversky is identified in the cited material as the psychologist. This page distinguishes the documented source trail from a claim of verbatim personal testimony.

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The primary source (Chicago)

Michael Lewis, The Undoing Project (2016), reporting Tversky’s notes.

This verification page

Quotle.info. “Who really said ‘People predict very little and explain everything’?” Last verified 9 Nov 2026. https://quotle.info/who-said/people-predict-very-little-and-explain-everything/

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